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Anthropic CEO Dario Amodei warned that artificial intelligence could replace 50% of junior office workers within the next five years.
According to reporting by Business Insider, Amodei said that the majority of the public remains unaware that AI has the potential to replace half of entry-level white-collar jobs in such a short timeframe.
“We, as the producers of this technology, have a duty and an obligation to be honest about what is coming,” Amodei told Axios, as quoted by BI. “I don’t think this is on people’s radar.”
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The leader of the company behind the Claude chatbot also shared his predictions about the unemployment rates, saying that they will be between 10% and 20% in less than a decade. He emphasized his mission to inform the public of the coming changes in the job market .
“Most of them are unaware that this is about to happen,” Amodei said. “It sounds crazy, and people just don’t believe it.”
Amodei also said that AI is advancing at a rapid pace and soon will be able to exceed human performance. He suggested these predictions are why the government may prefer to keep the issue quiet to avoid public panic.
The CEO outlined the four-step progression toward a labor crisis, beginning with AI models beating humans on specific tasks. Next, he suggests the U.S. government, keen on maintaining a competitive advantage over China, will do nothing to regulate artificial intelligence.
Most people remain unaware of these developments and ignore a threat of losing their jobs to machines. Finally, businesses rapidly adopt AI to replace humans.
In the context of this prediction, Business Insider cited a survey from the venture capital firm SignalFire showing that Big Tech hiring of new graduates has dropped to half of pre-pandemic levels.
The most interesting finding from that report is an increase in hiring for mid- and senior-level roles in 2024 and no change for entry-level positions.
“AI isn’t stealing job categories outright — it’s absorbing the lowest-skill tasks,” a SignalFire expert said, as cited by the paper. “Now you can hire one experienced worker, equip them with AI tooling, and they can produce the output of the junior worker on top of their own.”
Despite the grim forecasts, a total job apocalypse remains unlikely for now. Users of AI in professional settings often note that while output is fast, it frequently contains inaccuracies that require a human observer to verify.
Take, for example, the cautionary tale about an AI support agent that went rogue and caused a wave cancelled subscriptions.
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